Elections 2011 - Greens Party Vote

Thursday, 1 December 2011 by Andrew McMillan

Russel_Norman_Metiria_TureiThe Greens had a fantastic election, improving on last election's 6.72% and nine seats in the house to breaking the ten precent barrier this election with 10.62%, giving them 13 MP's in the house.

There are really two factors at play with the Greens success, the strengthening of the Green brand and the diabolical performance of the Labour Party. In terms of branding, the Greens have managed to maintain their clean, green and principled guise by rigorously staying on message.

The Greens have realised that they can fly under the radar of scrutiny if they keep to a simple idealistic message. The soft vote doesn't care about scrutiny and the media won't push for answers, if the Greens stay on message; kind of like the defence mechanism of a schooling fish. But in saying that, they have to be commended for how they managed to get their message out, again their advertising and other promotional stunts worked very well.

Along with New Zealand First, the Greens were the big winners on the night. So let's take a look at the numbers. Note that the following analysis is based 2008 data and preliminary results from the 2011 election.

Biggest Party Vote by Electorate

Rank Electorate Candidate Party (%) Change
1 Wellington Central SHAW, James 26.47 n/c
2 Rongotai NORMAN, Russel 23.07 n/c
3 Dunedin North TUREI, Metiria 22.69 n/c
4 Auckland Central ROCHE, Denise 22.13 n/c
5 Port Hills BURSTON, Joseph 19.26 n/c
6 Mt Albert CLENDON, David 16.48 +1
7 Christchurch Central MOORHOUSE, David 15.78 -1
8 Te Tai Tonga LANGSBURY, Dora Roimata 15.51 +13
9 Nelson BARLOW, Aaryn 15.33 n/c
10 Ohariu HUGHES, Gareth 14.06 n/c

The first observation is that the Greens have maintained support in their last election's best performing electorates, their urban powerhouses. Wellington Central generally had a very low voter turnout (around 64%), but with the help of James Shaw, they increased the party vote from 20.62% when Sue Kedgley stood in 2008 to 26.47% this election.

Another notable standout is Dora Langsbury in the Maori seat of Te Tai Tonga, moving up 13 places with 15.51% of the party vote. More...

Fighting the Rural Lobbyists

Sunday, 20 November 2011 by Andrew McMillan

IrrigationAn abridged version of this letter was published in the Timaru Herald:

The Green Party Candidate for Rangitata, Gerrie Ligtenberg states that a moratorium on dairy expansion is the first step against the irrigation and farm lobbyists (November 15). This statement is not only out of step with the Greens published policy on agriculture and water quality but it also sets Ligtenberg up for a fight that she does not need to take on. More...